Ballity Match Intelligence

Real MadridvsRayo Vallecano

La Liga
Sat 12 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Current Squad v1 · Analytics 72% / 71%HIGH
Match Thesis

Brahim Díaz vs Iván Balliu shapes the Real Madrid–Vallecano contest.

MED
Primary Edge
HIGH
Real Madrid · Raumdeuter

Kylian Mbappé creation vs Vallecano defensive resistance

Counter-Route
HIGH
Vallecano · Raumdeuter

Jorge de Frutos box threat as Vallecano counter-route

Expected Lineups

Ballity predicted shape · Current Squad State

Expected XIProjected from recent starts
Real Madrid · 4-2-3-1
Vallecano · 4-3-3
Injured / missing
Real Madrid

No sidelined players listed

Rayo Vallecano

No sidelined players listed

Key Match Players

BUILD-UP
Real Madrid
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Eduardo Camavinga
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Tempo
ROLE FIT 81
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Dean Huijsen
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Federico Valverde
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 84
25/26 · Previous Club
Rayo Vallecano
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Florian Lejeune
Ball-Playing CB
Duels
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Andrei Rațiu
Playmaking FB
Tempo
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Unai López
Deep-Lying Playmaker
ROLE FIT 92
25/26 · Previous Club
CREATION
Real Madrid
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Kylian Mbappé
Shadow Striker
Box Threat
ROLE FIT 85
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Brahim Díaz
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Vinícius Júnior
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
Rayo Vallecano
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Álvaro García
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Pedro Díaz
Creator
Tempo
ROLE FIT 71
25/26 · Previous Club
THREAT
Real Madrid
#1 THREATHIGH
Kylian Mbappé
Channel Runner
Box Threat
ROLE FIT 85
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Vinícius Júnior
Duelist Winger
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 THREATHIGH
Jude Bellingham
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 85
25/26 · Previous Club
Rayo Vallecano
#1 THREATHIGH
Jorge de Frutos
Raumdeuter
ROLE FIT 75
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Unai López
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 92
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 THREATHIGH
Álvaro García
Raumdeuter
Defending
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Previous Club
Where The Match Can Be Won
Match-Defining Battle
LEFT CHANNEL
HIGH
Brahim Díaz
LAM · Carrier
CREATION THREAT
VS
Iván Balliu
RB · Carrier
DEFENSIVE RESISTANCE
Why it matters

A major attacking weapon meets meaningful related resistance, neither side owns this matchup.

Contested80 ↔ 25
Matchup Mismatches
BOX
ATTACKER EDGE
Kylian MbappéVSJozhua Vertrouwd
BOX THREAT · DEFENSIVE RESISTANCE

Exceptional box threat meets a weak opposing defensive resistance profile.

95 → 9MED
Block Strength

How completely each unit covers key football functions

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
PROGRESSION
Real Madrid94ELITE

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

Rayo Vallecano73GOOD

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

CARRYING
Real Madrid92ELITE

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

Rayo Vallecano73GOOD

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

CREATION
Real Madrid95ELITE

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

Rayo Vallecano49AVERAGE

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

DEFENSIVE PRESENCE
Real Madrid88GREAT

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

Rayo Vallecano71GOOD

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

DUELS
Real Madrid94ELITE

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

Rayo Vallecano83GREAT

Coverage: 3/3 expected players

FUNCTION COVERAGE · HIGH confidence · Coverage 3/3 · 3/3 · Prior-season / prior-club evidence
Game State

What happens if the score changes · results history only

Real Madrid, Level
HIGH
61%
Next goal for
31%
Next goal against
2.01
GF /90 while level
1.00
GA /90 while level
68%
Scored first (matches)
Rayo Vallecano, Level
HIGH
44%
Next goal for
36%
Next goal against
1.17
GF /90 while level
0.98
GA /90 while level
54%
Scored first (matches)
Historical sampleReal Madrid: 59 entries · 1611 minRayo Vallecano: 55 entries · 1844 minHIGH
Routes To Advantage
01Real Madrid

Eduardo Camavinga → Carrier → Releases Kylian Mbappé

Evidence: progression · creation

02Rayo Vallecano

Álvaro García → Raumdeuter → Creator → threat arrivals

Evidence: link · box_threat

Ballity Verdict
Transition
Rayo Vallecano
Individual
EVEN

Brahim Díaz vs Iván Balliu shapes the Real Madrid–Vallecano contest.

Shapes the match
Kylian Mbappé
Raumdeuter vs Vallecano
Deciding interaction
Brahim Díaz vs Iván Balliu
Opponent route
Jorge de Frutos box threat as Vallecano counter-route
HIGH43 claims · coverage 72% / 70.8%