Ballity Match Intelligence

Aston VillavsNottingham Forest

Premier League
Sat 12 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Villa Park
Current Squad v1 · Analytics 58% / 81%HIGH
Match Thesis

Igor Jesus vs Victor Lindelöf shapes the Aston Villa–Forest contest.

MED
Primary Edge
HIGH
Aston Villa · Playmaking Winger

John McGinn creation vs Forest defensive resistance

Counter-Route
HIGH
Forest · Box Crasher

Morgan Gibbs-White box threat as Forest counter-route

Expected Lineups

Ballity predicted shape · Current Squad State

Expected XIProjected from recent starts
Aston Villa · 4-2-3-1
Forest · 3-4-2-1
Injured / missing
Aston Villa

No sidelined players listed

Nottingham Forest

No sidelined players listed

Key Match Players

BUILD-UP
Aston Villa
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Marco Bizot
Distributor
ROLE FIT 100
25/26 · Villa
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Ian Maatsen
Playmaking FB
Duels
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Villa
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Tyrone Mings
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 81
25/26 · Villa
Nottingham Forest
#1 BUILD-UPHIGH
Ola Aina
Playmaking FB
Duels
ROLE FIT 80
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 BUILD-UPHIGH
Nikola Milenković
Ball-Playing CB
ROLE FIT 81
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 BUILD-UPHIGH
Ibrahim Sangaré
Deep-Lying Playmaker
Duels
ROLE FIT 76
25/26 · Previous Club
CREATION
Aston Villa
#1 CREATIONHIGH
John McGinn
Playmaking Winger
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Villa
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Ross Barkley
Creator
Duels
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Villa
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Emiliano Buendía
Playmaking Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 84
25/26 · Villa
Nottingham Forest
#1 CREATIONHIGH
Morgan Gibbs-White
Creator
Tempo
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 CREATIONHIGH
Nicolás Domínguez
Creator
Duels
ROLE FIT 81
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 CREATIONHIGH
Dan Ndoye
Duelist Winger
ROLE FIT 78
25/26 · Previous Club
THREAT
Aston Villa
#1 THREATHIGH
Emiliano Buendía
Poacher
ROLE FIT 84
25/26 · Villa
#2 THREATHIGH
John McGinn
Duelist Winger
Duels
ROLE FIT 77
25/26 · Villa
#3 THREATHIGH
Boubacar Kamara
Box-to-Box Midfielder
Duels
ROLE FIT 80
25/26 · Villa
Nottingham Forest
#1 THREATHIGH
Morgan Gibbs-White
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#2 THREATHIGH
Igor Jesus
Target Man
ROLE FIT 79
25/26 · Previous Club
#3 THREATHIGH
Nicolás Domínguez
Box Crasher
ROLE FIT 81
25/26 · Previous Club
Where The Match Can Be Won
Match-Defining Battle
BOX
HIGH
Igor Jesus
ST · Target Man
AERIAL THREAT
VS
Victor Lindelöf
RCB · Ball-Playing CB
AERIAL RESISTANCE
Why it matters

A major attacking weapon meets meaningful related resistance, neither side owns this matchup.

Contested80 ↔ 8
Block Strength

How completely each unit covers key football functions

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
PROGRESSION
Aston Villa65GOOD

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

Forest52AVERAGE

Coverage: 1/2 expected players

CARRYING
Aston Villa65GOOD

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

Forest58AVERAGE

Coverage: 1/2 expected players

CREATION
Aston Villa47AVERAGE

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

Forest52AVERAGE

Coverage: 1/2 expected players

DEFENSIVE PRESENCE
Aston Villa67GOOD

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

Forest58AVERAGE

Coverage: 1/2 expected players

DUELS
Aston Villa73GOOD

Coverage: 2/3 expected players

Forest58AVERAGE

Coverage: 1/2 expected players

FUNCTION COVERAGE · HIGH confidence · Coverage 2/3 · 2/2 · Prior-season / prior-club evidence · 1 player(s) excluded (no prior data)
Game State

What happens if the score changes · results history only

Aston Villa, Level
HIGH
59%
Next goal for
33%
Next goal against
1.74
GF /90 while level
0.97
GA /90 while level
57%
Scored first (matches)
Nottingham Forest, Level
HIGH
35%
Next goal for
47%
Next goal against
0.90
GF /90 while level
1.20
GA /90 while level
43%
Scored first (matches)
Historical sampleAston Villa: 58 entries · 1758 minNottingham Forest: 51 entries · 1805 minHIGH
Routes To Advantage
01Aston Villa

Marco Bizot → Distributor → Releases John McGinn

Evidence: progression · creation

02Nottingham Forest

Morgan Gibbs-White → Box Crasher → Creator → threat arrivals

Evidence: link · box_threat

Ballity Verdict
Transition
Nottingham Forest
Individual
EVEN

Igor Jesus vs Victor Lindelöf shapes the Aston Villa–Forest contest.

Shapes the match
John McGinn
Playmaking Winger vs Forest
Deciding interaction
Igor Jesus vs Victor Lindelöf
Opponent route
Morgan Gibbs-White box threat as Forest counter-route
HIGH42 claims · coverage 58.3% / 81%